July 8, 2025
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Wimbledon 2025: Dark Horses & Top Contenders

As Wimbledon 2025 kicks off (June 30–July 13), it’s shaping up to be a clash between established champions and emerging threats. Here’s your guide to who might claim glory at SW19.


🥇 The Elite Trio: Alcaraz • Sinner • Djokovic

Carlos Alcaraz
The two-time defending champion (2023, 2024) enters on an 18-match win streak—including Roland Garros and Queen’s Club titles—making him the bookmakers’ favorite at 6/4 (40 %) . His athleticism and flair on grass echo Federer’s magic, though a third straight trophy remains a stiff test

Jannik Sinner
World No. 1 and Australian Open champion, but marked by a doping suspension earlier in the year. He pushed Alcaraz to the brink at Roland Garros and, despite recent grass challenges, remains a prime contender at 6/4 odds . His peak performance hinges on mental recovery from that Paris heartbreak.

Novak Djokovic
At 38, Djokovic is hunting a record-equalling eighth Wimbledon and 25th major, priced around 15/2–9/2 Though aging, he recently split two with Alcaraz and dominates on grass—possibly the most likely outsider to stop the Sinner–Alcaraz party


🌟 Dark Horses

Alexander Bublik
With a Halle title under his belt and an upset of Sinner, Bublik is drawing attention at 50/1–+3700 His variety and slice-savvy grass play make him a real threat in early rounds.

Matteo Berrettini
Grass specialist (Wimbledon 2021 finalist) with a powerful serve–forehand combo. Prone to injuries but, when healthy, he’s a proven contender

Taylor Fritz
The American power player claimed Stuttgart recently and stands around 33/1 odds . His big serve and aggressive style could propel him deep, though mental focus may falter under pressure.

Jack Draper
Britain’s best hope, with improved form and a lefty serve to trouble opponents. He beat Alcaraz at Queen’s and is around 20/1–8/1 . A semi-final run would electrify the home crowd.

Others: Holger Rune, Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Zverev, Jakub Mensik, and Giovanni Perricard offer potential surprises


👑 Women’s Contenders

Aryna Sabalenka
As the top seed, Sabalenka offers power and pedigree for SW19, and leads betting markets at around 11/4–2.99 . Her serve is formidable, yet nerves have resurfaced—she faltered in two recent Slam finals. Will she hold under the Centre Court spotlight?

Elena Rybakina
Champion in 2022 and now injury-free, she recently claimed Strasbourg and pushed Sabalenka closely in Berlin. Odds around 5/1 make her a strong challenger

Coco Gauff
Fresh from her first French Open title, Gauff is at 6/1–9/1 odds. Her grass game is improving, but consistency remains key

Potential Upsets: Mirra Andreeva (+10/1), Jasmine Paolini (+22/1, Wimbledon 2024 finalist), Petra Kvitová, Barbora Krejčíková and Markéta Vondroušová, all capable of springing surprises .


🏆 Final Verdict

Men’s Race: Alcaraz seems poised for a historic three-peat, with Sinner hot on his heels if he plays mentally free. Djokovic remains the wild card—if the veteran finds his rhythm, he could derail Sinner or Alcaraz. Watch the dark-horse Bublik, and home hero Draper might ride a wave of momentum.

Women’s Watch: Sabalenka enters as favorite, but inconsistencies could spell opportunities for Rybakina or Gauff. Don’t overlook Andreeva or Paolini as genuine threats.


Bottom line: While it’s tempting to call it a Sinner–Alcaraz showdown, Djokovic’s Wimbledon mastery means he can crash the party. On the women’s side, Sabalenka is popular but under pressure—and grass has a way of upending the script.

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